COVID-19: of models and evidence

Chairperson: Lucio Ildebrando Maria Cocco

Modeling often uses theory and assumptions to make inferences about predictions and to guide decision-making in the absence of definitive evidence. Conversely, evidence-based medicine focuses more on appraising the strength of data and on informing decisions based on the best and most reliable data. These two approaches can offer complementary insights, but they can also clash at times.

The COVID-19 pandemic offers a major example where these approaches were hotly debated and where the stakes of appropriate decision-making were very high.

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